Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.200547 0.232498 0.269638 0.316425 0.374404 0.444706 5.376695e-01
2025-02-23 0.152203 0.192122 0.244205 0.318936 0.426553 0.581233 8.311113e-01
2025-03-02 0.123808 0.165932 0.225682 0.320343 0.474261 0.730590 1.230954e+00
2025-03-09 0.104542 0.146494 0.209890 0.318499 0.513764 0.883865 1.749132e+00
2025-03-16 0.089946 0.130416 0.194661 0.311858 0.541012 1.027693 2.378195e+00
2025-03-23 0.081764 0.122455 0.190185 0.321658 0.601825 1.274509 3.554939e+00
2025-03-30 0.072855 0.111730 0.178750 0.315125 0.626026 1.451715 4.798311e+00
2025-04-06 0.067132 0.105421 0.173815 0.319913 0.677719 1.740573 7.086319e+00
2025-04-13 0.061298 0.098072 0.165635 0.315754 0.706013 1.983941 9.878528e+00
2025-04-20 0.057439 0.093721 0.162405 0.321657 0.764033 2.386215 1.543170e+01
2025-04-27 0.054399 0.090464 0.160764 0.330815 0.836343 2.929917 2.612751e+01
2025-05-04 0.051505 0.087118 0.158385 0.337600 0.905521 3.558831 4.596216e+01
2025-05-11 0.049021 0.084353 0.156980 0.347123 0.992184 4.444021 9.455240e+01
2025-05-18 0.046458 0.081158 0.154205 0.352520 1.069172 5.449813 2.130434e+02
2025-05-25 0.043957 0.077823 0.150637 0.354917 1.137657 6.588342 5.565982e+02
2025-06-01 0.041454 0.074226 0.145974 0.353050 1.188681 7.759065 1.745736e+03
2025-06-08 0.038882 0.070243 0.139893 0.345528 1.211201 8.763370 6.661972e+03
2025-06-15 0.037575 0.068819 0.139755 0.356762 1.334292 11.505959 1.770254e+06
2025-06-22 0.035430 0.065391 0.134268 0.349292 1.356982 13.052864 NaN
2025-06-29 0.034092 0.063612 0.132695 0.354773 1.457970 16.641135 NaN
2025-07-06 0.032401 0.060910 0.128448 0.350015 1.497108 19.447156 NaN
2025-07-13 0.031334 0.059519 0.127442 0.356770 1.617008 25.654474 NaN
2025-07-20 0.030481 0.058542 0.127410 0.367261 1.775507 35.912813 NaN